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Bank Negara Malaysia says businesses are expected to face continued headwinds, including tightening global financial conditions and exchange rate developments. – The Malaysian Insight file pic, October 5, 2022.

DOMESTIC market conditions have remained orderly with the smooth intermediation of two-way flows in the bond and equity markets despite continued heightened volatility in the financial markets, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) said.

In its financial stability review for the first half of 2022 released today, the central bank said the US dollar has strengthened significantly and remained at a two-decade high due to aggressive policy rate hikes in the United States and flight to perceived safe US dollar assets. 

“Continued onshore foreign exchange market liquidity is enabling orderly adjustments to external developments. This will support businesses and market participants in managing their foreign exchange exposures,” it said.

According to the review, the financial performance of businesses continued to improve in line with the full resumption of economic activities and reopening of international borders, but recovery remains uneven and has been slower in certain economic sub-sectors. 

“Overall business loan impairments remain low at 1.1% of total banking system loans. The share of business loans with higher credit risk continued to decline to 14.4% of total business loans in line with the gradual improvement in business conditions,” it said.

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The review also showed that the share of small and medium enterprises (SME) loans under repayment assistance have halved to 13.1% of total SME loans, or 2.3% of total loans from the banking system and development financial institutions, while SMEs that have exited repayment assistance programmes have largely been able to resume their loan repayments. 

“Businesses are expected to face continued headwinds, including tightening global financial conditions and exchange rate developments. However, additional business defaults under simulated severe stress scenarios are expected to remain manageable. 

“Importantly, various targeted debt management programmes remain in place for SMEs that continue to experience temporary financial challenges,” it said.

Meanwhile, BNM said the ratio of household debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) has reverted closer to pre-pandemic levels, at 84.5%, and banks continue to maintain prudent lending standards amid a sustained recovery in household lending.

“This is helping to preserve healthy loan servicing buffers among households and their ability to manage the impact of higher borrowing and other costs. The share of household debt under repayment assistance has declined significantly from 18.8% in December 2021 to 2.4% as of June 2022, with a lower share of household debt reported by banks to be of higher credit risk. 

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